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The problem here is caused by /etc/modprobe.d/firewalld-sysctls.conf: If I remove the file, module auto-loading proceeds as expected. The problematic file's content is as such:
| install nf_conntrack /usr/sbin/modprobe --ignore-install nf_conntrack && /usr/sbin/sysctl --pattern 'net[.]netfilter[.]nf_conntrack.*' --system
This causes a call to sysctl after nf_conntrack has been loaded (either automatically by the kernel or on command line using 'modprobe').
It seems that printing to stdout by sysctl upsets module auto-loading somehow. Adding '--quiet' to the sysctl call fixes the issue.
Note that while being at it, one should also add $CMDLINE_OPTS as last parameter to the modprobe call as explained in modprobe.conf(5) to allow passing module parameters via 'modprobe'.
Since the problem described in this bug report should be
resolved in a recent advisory, it has been closed with a
resolution of ERRATA.
For information on the advisory, and where to find the updated
files, follow the link below.
If the solution does not work for you, open a new bug report.
https://access.redhat.com/errata/RHEA-2018:0702